Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.090042 0.100252 0.110757 0.122345 0.134744 0.147585 0.161863
2025-01-05 0.073547 0.088865 0.105480 0.124712 0.146234 0.169456 0.196283
2025-01-12 0.061460 0.079985 0.101039 0.126427 0.155901 0.188748 0.227820
2025-01-19 0.051830 0.072292 0.096560 0.126896 0.163235 0.204827 0.255485
2025-01-26 0.048642 0.071659 0.099876 0.136112 0.180524 0.232337 0.296497
2025-02-02 0.042922 0.067037 0.097643 0.138045 0.188706 0.248930 0.324703
2025-02-09 0.038623 0.063695 0.096539 0.140976 0.197818 0.266483 0.354051
2025-02-16 0.033805 0.059063 0.093263 0.140705 0.202609 0.278575 0.376730
2025-02-23 0.032354 0.058988 0.095929 0.148091 0.217104 0.302720 0.414332
2025-03-02 0.030591 0.058232 0.097500 0.153923 0.229583 0.324424 0.449112
2025-03-09 0.026528 0.053548 0.093188 0.151459 0.230963 0.331949 0.466141
2025-03-16 0.022660 0.048724 0.088283 0.147821 0.230490 0.336894 0.479784
2025-03-23 0.021193 0.047819 0.089271 0.152744 0.241997 0.357965 0.514863
2025-03-30 0.019480 0.046340 0.089323 0.156352 0.251862 0.377175 0.548019
2025-04-06 0.017641 0.044426 0.088552 0.158683 0.259973 0.394187 0.578579
2025-04-13 0.015660 0.041992 0.086761 0.159357 0.265697 0.408048 0.605164
2025-04-20 0.015830 0.043667 0.091661 0.170172 0.285881 0.441452 0.657599
2025-04-27 0.014403 0.042030 0.090987 0.172445 0.293906 0.458576 0.688826
2025-05-04 0.013311 0.040927 0.091103 0.175868 0.303575 0.477982 0.723202
2025-05-11 0.011734 0.038577 0.088911 0.175555 0.307749 0.489884 0.747683
2025-05-18 0.011625 0.039430 0.092324 0.184149 0.325038 0.519913 0.796557
2025-05-25 0.011259 0.039648 0.094588 0.190921 0.339705 0.546443 0.840929
2025-06-01 0.009650 0.036729 0.090995 0.188062 0.339944 0.552883 0.858232